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Neighborhood · Lake Barcroft, VA

Sleepy Hollow Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,618 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

Sleepy Hollow Manor maps to a single census tract in Lake Barcroft, VA and houses 2,618 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.3/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 47%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Lake Barcroft rate of 29.0%. Average gross rent is $3,250, 69% above the Lake Barcroft average of $1,923. The voucher gap is 40.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 9/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.8/10. Court records for this tract carry 10 eviction filings.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 8.3% of renter households.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Judgments average 2.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Malbrook and Belvedere. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $194,750.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Sleepy Hollow Manor vs Lake Barcroft How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.2% +63%
Lake Barcroft: 29.0%
Average gross rent
$3,250 +69%
Lake Barcroft: $1,923
Average HH income
$194,750 +35%
Lake Barcroft: $143,796
Poverty rate
11.1% +121%
Lake Barcroft: 5.0%
Renter share
14.9% -53%
Lake Barcroft: 31.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sleepy Hollow Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why Sleepy Hollow Manor scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
15% renter households · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Risk score comparison

Sleepy Hollow Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sleepy Hollow Manor score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Sleepy Hollow Mano: 4.34.3Sleepy Hollow ManoNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Sleepy Hollow Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059451300 4.3 2,618 47% $3,250
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sleepy Hollow Manor

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings (sum)
  • 4.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 8.33%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sleepy Hollow Manor

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sleepy Hollow Manor

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sleepy Hollow Manor?

Sleepy Hollow Manor scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sleepy Hollow Manor compare to Lake Barcroft overall?

Sleepy Hollow Manor scores 0.2 points higher than Lake Barcroft overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $3,250 vs $1,923.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sleepy Hollow Manor?

Average gross rent in Sleepy Hollow Manor is $3,250/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sleepy Hollow Manor residents are renters?

15% of Sleepy Hollow Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Lake Barcroft). The neighborhood has 2,618 residents.
Q5

Is Sleepy Hollow Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Sleepy Hollow Manor sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Sleepy Hollow Manor for landlords?

Sleepy Hollow Manor carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Barcroft as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Sleepy Hollow Manor?

Sleepy Hollow Manor has 2,559 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.1%), Hispanic / Latino (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sleepy Hollow Manor

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Barcroft

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sleepy Hollow Manor.

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