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Neighborhood · West Falls Church, VA

Pine Spring Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,930 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Pine Spring maps to a single census tract in West Falls Church, VA, population 6,930. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the West Falls Church rate of 28.0%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 122 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 4.0% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 2.7% in 2016 against a 4.0% peak.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of West Falls Church, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $2,160, close to the West Falls Church average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $99,827.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Pine Spring vs West Falls Church How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.2% +72%
West Falls Church: 28.0%
Average gross rent
$2,160 +5%
West Falls Church: $2,066
Average HH income
$99,827 -24%
West Falls Church: $131,236
Poverty rate
6.1% -22%
West Falls Church: 7.8%
Renter share
46.7% +42%
West Falls Church: 32.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pine Spring and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Pine Spring scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Pine Spring vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pine Spring score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Pine Spring: 4.94.9Pine SpringNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Pine Spring

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059450100 4.9 6,930 48% $2,160
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pine Spring

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings (sum)
  • 2.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak year (2011)
  • 2.70%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pine Spring

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Pine Spring

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pine Spring?

Pine Spring scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pine Spring compare to West Falls Church overall?

Pine Spring scores 0.6 points higher than West Falls Church overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,160 vs $2,066.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pine Spring?

Average gross rent in Pine Spring is $2,160/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pine Spring residents are renters?

47% of Pine Spring households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in West Falls Church). The neighborhood has 6,930 residents.
Q5

Is Pine Spring a high social-vulnerability area?

Pine Spring sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Pine Spring for landlords?

Pine Spring carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to West Falls Church as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Pine Spring?

Pine Spring has 7,069 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (34.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pine Spring

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside West Falls Church

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pine Spring.

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