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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,320 of 84,120 nationally

Deepwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Reston

Tract 51059482303 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,290 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 51059482303 sits in the Deepwood neighborhood of Reston, Virginia. It has a population of 3,290 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 26% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,163/month against a median household income of $141,563 — roughly 18% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 12% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,683
Renter share23.5%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$141,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank — 67th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 4 tracts In Deepwood
Elevated
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank — 94th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 19 tracts In Reston
Very High
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank — 58th percentileBottomTop
#116 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank — 66th percentileBottomTop
#738 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Reston and the region

Centroid at 38.9337, -77.3362 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deepwood scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,163 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8

How Deepwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deepwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 482303Reston: 5.15.1Restonparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2011)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594823032011: 6 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (0.73/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Deepwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059482303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482303?

Census tract 51059482303 in the Deepwood neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059482303?

Median gross rent is $2,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482303?

1.7% of residents in tract 51059482303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,290.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 25th, minority 40th, housing 22th.

Q5

Is tract 51059482303 considered part of Deepwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482303 fall within Deepwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482303?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059482303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.91% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059482303 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059482303 compare to Reston overall?

Tract 51059482303 scores 5.6/10 — higher than the parent city of Reston at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Reston

Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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