Kincaid Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $2,656 a month, rents sit 26% over what the rest of Leesburg commands. Cost burden runs 22% against 29.5% citywide, putting Kincaid Forest 7.1% under its own city.

Court records for this tract carry 15 eviction filings. The voucher gap is 14.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation is 5.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.6% of adults, 10.2 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 6.4% of renter households.

Judgments average 4.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.