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Neighborhood · Sterling, VA

Cooktown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 6,362 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

Cooktown maps to a single census tract in Sterling, VA and houses 6,362 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 38% against 28.6% citywide, putting Cooktown 9.1% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 2/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,778, 17% below the Sterling average of $2,138.

Court records for this tract carry 5 eviction filings. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 1.3% of renter households.

17.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Judgments average 0.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $130,712, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion.

One tract means one number: 4.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cooktown vs Sterling How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.7% +32%
Sterling: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$1,778 -17%
Sterling: $2,138
Average HH income
$130,712 +4%
Sterling: $125,753
Poverty rate
8.0% +18%
Sterling: 6.8%
Renter share
13.5% -52%
Sterling: 28.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cooktown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why Cooktown scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
14% renter households · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Cooktown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cooktown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.3CooktownNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cooktown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51107611400 4.3 6,362 38% $1,778
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cooktown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings (sum)
  • 1.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.34%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cooktown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cooktown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cooktown?

Cooktown scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cooktown compare to Sterling overall?

Cooktown scores 0.3 points higher than Sterling overall (4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,778 vs $2,138.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cooktown?

Average gross rent in Cooktown is $1,778/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cooktown residents are renters?

14% of Cooktown households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Sterling). The neighborhood has 6,362 residents.
Q5

Is Cooktown a high social-vulnerability area?

Cooktown sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Cooktown for landlords?

Cooktown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sterling as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Cooktown?

Cooktown has 6,364 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (9.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cooktown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sterling

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cooktown.

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