2 census tracts · pop 7,360 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10
· range 4–5.7
Regency at Ashburn takes in 2 census tracts of Ashburn, VA, population 7,360. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. 39% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
63% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Ashburn rate of 30.2%. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4 to 5.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 36 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. SNAP participation is 5.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 3.3% of renter households.
Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Ashburn, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a like-for-like read, Ridges At Ashburn and The Regency score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,317, close to the Ashburn average.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Regency at Ashburn vs AshburnHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Regency at Ashburn
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
36Total filings (sum)
2.39%Avg annual filing rate
3.3%Peak year (2016)
2.39%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Regency at Ashburn
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.0%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
7.5%Food insecurity
5.0%SNAP enrollment
7.0%No health insurance
31.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Regency at Ashburn
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Regency at Ashburn?
Regency at Ashburn scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Regency at Ashburn compare to Ashburn overall?
Regency at Ashburn scores 0.6 points higher than Ashburn overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,317 vs $2,455.
Q3
What is the average rent in Regency at Ashburn?
Average gross rent in Regency at Ashburn eviction risk is $2,317/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Regency at Ashburn residents are renters?
52% of Regency at Ashburn households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Ashburn). The neighborhood has 7,360 residents.
Q5
Is Regency at Ashburn a high social-vulnerability area?
Regency at Ashburn sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Regency at Ashburn have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Regency at Ashburn is census tract 51107611018 (score 5.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5.7, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Regency at Ashburn for landlords?
Regency at Ashburn eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashburn as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Regency at Ashburn?
Regency at Ashburn has 7,940 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.9%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
