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Neighborhood · Countryside, VA

River Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,922 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

River Crest maps to a single census tract in Countryside, VA, population 4,922. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Countryside baseline of 29.6%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Court records for this tract carry 75 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.5% of renter households. Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Average gross rent runs $2,319, close to the Countryside average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $123,472. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
River Crest vs Countryside How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.8% +85%
Countryside: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$2,319 +4%
Countryside: $2,234
Average HH income
$123,472 -14%
Countryside: $143,229
Poverty rate
7.4% +52%
Countryside: 4.9%
Renter share
40.4% +46%
Countryside: 27.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River Crest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why River Crest scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

River Crest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River Crest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.River Crest: 4.44.4River CrestNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in River Crest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51107611101 4.4 4,922 55% $2,319
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 62%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in River Crest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 75Total filings (sum)
  • 10.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 10.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in River Crest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About River Crest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River Crest?

River Crest scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River Crest compare to Countryside overall?

River Crest scores 0.4 points higher than Countryside overall (4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,319 vs $2,234.
Q3

What is the average rent in River Crest?

Average gross rent in River Crest is $2,319/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River Crest residents are renters?

40% of River Crest households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Countryside). The neighborhood has 4,922 residents.
Q5

Is River Crest a high social-vulnerability area?

River Crest sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is River Crest for landlords?

River Crest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Countryside as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of River Crest?

River Crest has 5,133 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%), Hispanic / Latino (15.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River Crest

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