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Neighborhood · Countryside, VA

River Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,922 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

River Crest maps to a single census tract in Countryside, VA, population 4,922. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Countryside baseline of 29.6%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Court records for this tract carry 75 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.5% of renter households. Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Average gross rent runs $2,319, close to the Countryside average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $123,472. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
River Crest vs Countryside How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.8% +85%
Countryside: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$2,319 +4%
Countryside: $2,234
Average HH income
$123,472 -14%
Countryside: $143,229
Poverty rate
7.4% +52%
Countryside: 4.9%
Renter share
40.4% +46%
Countryside: 27.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River Crest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why River Crest scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

River Crest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River Crest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4River CrestNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in River Crest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51107611101 4.4 4,922 55% $2,319
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 33%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 62%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 53%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in River Crest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 75Total filings (sum)
  • 10.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 10.53%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in River Crest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About River Crest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River Crest?

River Crest scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River Crest compare to Countryside overall?

River Crest scores 0.4 points higher than Countryside overall (4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,319 vs $2,234.
Q3

What is the average rent in River Crest?

Average gross rent in River Crest is $2,319/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River Crest residents are renters?

40% of River Crest households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Countryside). The neighborhood has 4,922 residents.
Q5

Is River Crest a high social-vulnerability area?

River Crest sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is River Crest for landlords?

River Crest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Countryside as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of River Crest?

River Crest has 5,133 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%), Hispanic / Latino (15.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River Crest

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