Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeland Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg
Tract 51680001603 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 2,617 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51680001603 is a census tract in the Lakeland area of Lynchburg, VA. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,159
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$66,435
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.3484, -79.2099 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeland scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,257 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How Lakeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.2%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeland
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. At $1,257 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Lynchburg commands.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Lynchburg City average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $66,435.
48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680001603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001603?
Census tract 51680001603 in the Lakeland neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680001603?
Median gross rent is $1,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001603?
17.1% of residents in tract 51680001603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,617.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 50th, minority 60th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 51680001603 considered part of Lakeland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680001603 fall within Lakeland (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51680001603 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51680001603 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680001603 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westend
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cornerstone
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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