Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Mayfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Lynchburg
Tract 51680001800 · Lynchburg city, VA · pop 2,339 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51680001800 in the Mayfield area of Lynchburg, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 25% here against 43.8% across Lynchburg City.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,009
Renter share50.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$76,773
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lynchburg and the region
Centroid at 37.3791, -79.2293 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mayfield scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lynchburg
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,126 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynchburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynchburg
3.5
How Mayfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2013)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mayfield
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Lynchburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 44 filings here across 4 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 3.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $76,773, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51680001800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51680001800?
Census tract 51680001800 in the Mayfield neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51680001800?
Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51680001800?
9.0% of residents in tract 51680001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,339.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51680001800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 59th, minority 41th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 51680001800 considered part of Mayfield?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51680001800 fall within Mayfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51680001800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51680001800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.48% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51680001800 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51680001800 compare to Lynchburg overall?
Tract 51680001800 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lynchburg at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lynchburg
Top eight tracts in Lynchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
College Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Woodbine Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tinbridge Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Miller Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Diamond Hill
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Winston Ridge
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westend
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cornerstone
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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