Queensdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Dale City
Tract 51153901226 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,384 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51153901226 in the Queensdale area of Dale City, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dale City and the region
Centroid at 38.6711, -77.3684 · click any tract to drill in
Why Queensdale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Queensdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2016)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Queensdale
65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Prince William County average of 43.3%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10.
Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. At $2,201 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Dale City commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 filings here across 1 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $170,217, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51153901226
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901226?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901226?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901226?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901226?
Is tract 51153901226 considered part of Queensdale?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901226?
What share of households in tract 51153901226 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901226 compare to Dale City overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dale City
Top eight tracts in Dale City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.