1 census tracts · pop 3,349 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10
· range 3.8–3.8
Van Buren Village maps to a single census tract in Dumfries, VA, population 3,349. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 47%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
58% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Dumfries rate of 26.5%. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.
At $2,142 a month, rents sit 24% over what the rest of Dumfries commands. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. At 14% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $111,010.
One tract means one number: 3.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Van Buren Village vs DumfriesHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Van Buren Village
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.1%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
16.1%Food insecurity
11.7%SNAP enrollment
11.0%No health insurance
27.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Van Buren Village
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Van Buren Village?
Van Buren Village scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Van Buren Village compare to Dumfries overall?
Van Buren Village scores 0.2 points lower than Dumfries overall (4/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,142 vs $1,732.
Q3
What is the average rent in Van Buren Village?
Average gross rent in Van Buren Village is $2,142/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Van Buren Village residents are renters?
14% of Van Buren Village households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Dumfries). The neighborhood has 3,349 residents.
Q5
Is Van Buren Village a high social-vulnerability area?
Van Buren Village sits in the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Van Buren Village for landlords?
Van Buren Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dumfries as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Van Buren Village?
Van Buren Village has 3,425 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.3%), Hispanic / Latino (29.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
