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Tumwater, Washington eviction risk overview
Ranked #455 of 1,865 nationally

Tumwater, WA Eviction Risk: HIGH

Thurston County · Population 26,956

In 2026
Risk score
7
HIGH

88th percentile, Washington.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average3.9 Now7
7.0 2.3 1976 · score 2.4 1977 · score 2.4 1978 · score 2.3 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 2.4 1981 · score 2.4 1982 · score 2.5 1983 · score 2.5 1984 · score 2.5 1985 · score 2.4 1986 · score 2.4 1987 · score 2.4 1988 · score 2.6 1989 · score 2.6 1990 · score 2.6 1991 · score 2.7 1992 · score 3.2 1993 · score 3.2 1994 · score 3.2 1995 · score 3.3 1996 · score 3.3 1997 · score 3.3 1998 · score 3.4 1999 · score 3.4 2000 · score 3.4 2001 · score 3.4 2002 · score 3.5 2003 · score 3.5 2004 · score 3.6 2005 · score 3.6 2006 · score 3.6 2007 · score 3.6 2008 · score 4.1 2009 · score 4.4 2010 · score 4.6 2011 · score 4.6 2012 · score 4.5 2013 · score 4.4 2014 · score 4.5 2015 · score 4.5 2016 · score 4.6 2017 · score 4.7 2018 · score 5.1 2019 · score 5.2 2020 · score 6.8 2021 · score 7.0 2022 · score 6.9 2023 · score 6.7 2024 · score 6.8 2025 · score 7.0 2026 · score 7.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.3 Regional 6.3 State 6.0 Economic 5.5 Supply 8.3 Rent Control 6.1 Eviction 6.2 Tenant 8.0 Housing 5.2 7 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +20.4% (2024)
    6.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.3
  3. State political climate
    Washington legislature & governorship
    6.0
  4. Economic stress
    7.8% poverty · 5.0% unemp.
    5.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,779 average · 37.5% renters
    8.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.9% of income on rent
    6.1
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    174 days filing → judgment
    6.2
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    37.5% renters
    8.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tumwater and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Tumwater compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Thurston County
Elevated
#6 of 16 cities
Rank in county, 67th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 16 cities in Thurston County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Washington
High
#128 of 637 cities
Rank in state, 80th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 637 cities in Washington for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Tumwater risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Tumwater: 7.07.0TumwaterThis cityCounty: 7.07.0Countyavg in countyState: 7.07.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 174d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,779/mo. A contested eviction takes 174 days and costs $8,958–$17,659 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 37.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 26,956 residents, 37.5% rent. 30% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.8% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.3 and 6.3 (Dem margin +20.4% (2024)). State climate at 6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.2, housing court bias 5.2, rent-control risk 6.1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.2 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.5. Supply constraint: 8.3. The numbers behind those: 7.8% poverty, 5.0% unemployment, 30% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Tumwater sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Tacoma, WA · 161d · ~$13.7k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.8 Tacoma Kent, WA · 173d · ~$15.3k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.2 Kent Renton, WA · 170d · ~$14.7k all-in ($86/day) · score 7.1 Renton Federal Way, WA · 167d · ~$13.5k all-in ($81/day) · score 7.1 Federal Way Auburn, WA · 170d · ~$13.2k all-in ($77/day) · score 7 Auburn South Hill, WA · 159d · ~$14.2k all-in ($89/day) · score 6.9 South Hill Lakewood, WA · 158d · ~$12.9k all-in ($82/day) · score 7 Lakewood Lacey, WA · 154d · ~$14.8k all-in ($96/day) · score 6.9 Lacey Olympia, WA · 144d · ~$13.9k all-in ($96/day) · score 7.1 Olympia Burien, WA · 174d · ~$13.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.1 Burien Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Tumwater
Tumwater · 174d · ~$13.3k all-in ($76/day) · score 7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Tumwater, WA

Landlording in Tumwater, Washington, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Tumwater is a city of 26,956 residents where 37.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,779/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Tumwater eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.2/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Tumwater closes 174 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Tumwater's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Tumwater runs $8,958 to $17,659 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 174 days of typical timeline and $1,779/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8/10 in Tumwater, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Washington, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Tumwater: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Washington's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $17,659 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Tumwater

Trap · 5.2/10
For landlords, the 5.2/10 score is most actionable when combined with Thurston County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 5.2/10. Use proactive screening and documented notices.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the biggest risk for landlords in Tumwater?

The biggest risk is the combination of high eviction costs and the incredibly long timeline (174 days). Losing nearly six months of rent, plus paying thousands in legal fees, can cripple an everyday landlord. This is why thorough screening and proactive communication are so critical.
Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Tumwater if I want to sell the property?

Not easily. Washington state has a statewide just-cause eviction requirement. "Wanting to sell" isn't automatically a just cause, especially if the tenant has a valid lease. There are specific, limited "owner-move-in" or "sale to owner-occupant" clauses, but they are strict and often require significant notice. Consult an attorney before attempting this.
Q3

How much notice do I need to give for a rent increase?

In Washington, for month-to-month tenancies, you must give at least 60 days' written notice for a rent increase. If there's a fixed-term lease, you cannot increase rent until that lease term expires, unless the lease itself has a specific clause allowing for it (which is rare and often heavily regulated). There are no rent control ordinances in Tumwater, but be aware of Washington rent control rules for future changes.
Q4

My tenant is causing damage. Can I evict them immediately?

No, not immediately. For lease violations (like damage), you typically need to issue a notice to cure or quit. This notice gives the tenant a chance to fix the problem (e.g., pay for the damage, stop the behavior). If they don't, then you can proceed with an unlawful detainer action. The exact notice period depends on the specific violation, but it's rarely "immediate."
Q5

Do I really need a lawyer for an eviction in Tumwater?

Given the complexity of Washington's landlord-tenant laws, the statewide just-cause requirement, and the high cost of mistakes, absolutely. While you're not legally required to have one, attempting an eviction without experienced legal counsel is a high-stakes gamble that most small landlords can't afford to lose. It's an investment in protecting your asset.
Q6

What if my tenant claims a habitability issue?

If a tenant claims a habitability issue, you must address it promptly and properly. Washington law allows tenants certain remedies if landlords fail to maintain a habitable property, including the right to repair and deduct, or even move out. Document all communication and repair efforts. Ignoring legitimate repair requests can severely weaken your position in an eviction case, even if the tenant is also behind on rent.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7/10 places Tumwater in the 88th percentile of Washington cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.