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Centralia, WA Eviction Risk Score Thurston County · Washington · Population 18,830 · Updated

5.5 Elevated
★★★ High confidence
50.4%Tenant-law probabilityi
$9,061–17,758Typical eviction costi
161 daysTypical timelinei
1.51%Eviction filing ratei
$1,843HUD 2BR FMR 2025i
$1,084Median gross renti
32.3%Rent burdeni
40.0%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
6.3
Dem margin +18.6% in 2020
Regional political climate
6.3
Dem margin +18.6% in 2020
State political climate
6.0
Economic stress
7.2
19.9% poverty · 4.8% unemployed
Supply constraint
7.1
$1,084 median rent · 40.0% renters
Rent-control risk
7.4
32.3% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
8.3
40.0% renters
Housing court bias
7.6
Eviction filing rate (ground truth)
2.2
1.51 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)
Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)
0.0
Market rent -41.2% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($1,843)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

Location & regional heat

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About eviction risk in Centralia, WA

Centralia, WA has an eviction risk score of 5.5 out of 10, placing it in the elevated-risk tier for landlords operating in Thurston County and the state of Washington. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 32.3% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Centralia is $1,084/month. About 40.0% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 19.9%, unemployment 4.8%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Thurston County voted Democratic by 18.6 points — classified as moderately tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 5.5/10, Centralia is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

City Distance Population Risk score
Fords Prairie, WA 2.4 mi 1,823 5.5
Chehalis, WA 4 mi 7,587 5.3
Grand Mound, WA 5.7 mi 3,287 4.4
Bucoda, WA 7 mi 494 5.0
Rochester, WA 8.1 mi 5,834 5.1
Napavine, WA 9.9 mi 2,158 4.9
Tenino, WA 10.5 mi 2,025 5.0
Oakville, WA 14.9 mi 878 5.2

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your research with these guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each breakdown.

Landlord Guides for Washington

Eviction Costs — Washington →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Eviction Process — Washington →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Rent Control — Washington →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Tenant Screening — Washington →
5-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Tenant Protections — Washington →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry