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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Coldwater Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale

Tract 04013082026 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,078 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 3.6/10, tract 04013082026 in the Coldwater Springs area of Avondale, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 24% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,197
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$104,152

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Coldwater Springs
Elevated
Within parent city
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 20 tracts In Avondale
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#442 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#811 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4425, -112.3151 · click any tract to drill in

Why Coldwater Springs scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,067 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Coldwater Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Coldwater Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 082026Avondale: 4.14.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 214Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 931.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 242.5%Peak (2005)
  • 166Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130820262001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 8 filings (425.32/100 renter HHs)2004: 40 filings (2,126.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 166 filings (242.50/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Coldwater Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Coldwater Springs

Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 214 eviction filings across 3 observed years.

At $2,067 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Avondale commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 242.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 931.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $104,152.

40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082026

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082026?

Census tract 04013082026 in the Coldwater Springs neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082026?

Median gross rent is $2,067/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082026?

10.1% of residents in tract 04013082026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,078.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082026?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 67th, minority 77th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 04013082026 considered part of Coldwater Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013082026 fall within Coldwater Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082026?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 214 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013082026 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 931.47% of renter households, peaking at 242.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013082026 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013082026 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013082026 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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