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Neighborhood · Avondale, AZ

Coldwater Springs Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 24,118 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3–5.5

Coldwater Springs spans 4 census tracts of Avondale, AZ and houses 24,118 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, Lower tier. Against a Avondale baseline of 32.7%, 47% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5.5. A 2.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,992 across 4 observed tracts. 20.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.6/10. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 242.5% of renter households.

That places it #8 of 8 neighborhoods in Avondale. Judgments average 173.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Sage Creek and Corte Sierra I score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Coldwater Springs vs Avondale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.9% +43%
Avondale: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$1,903 +4%
Avondale: $1,832
Average HH income
$91,716 +13%
Avondale: $81,260
Poverty rate
10.5% -4%
Avondale: 10.9%
Renter share
35.5% -7%
Avondale: 38.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Coldwater Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–5.5

Why Coldwater Springs scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
10.5% below poverty line · Range 1.4–4.9 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–5.7 across tracts
4.8
Risk score comparison

Coldwater Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Coldwater Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Coldwater Springs: 3.83.8Coldwater SpringsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Coldwater Springs?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.5 points from 3 to 5.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Coldwater Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013061200 5.5 5,909 71% $1,391
04013082026 3.6 7,078 39% $2,067
04013082025 3.3 3,253 24% $2,045
04013082211 3 7,878 45% $2,081
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 58

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Coldwater Springs

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,992Total filings (sum)
  • 346.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 242.5%Peak year (2005)
  • 99.23%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Coldwater Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Coldwater Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Coldwater Springs?

Coldwater Springs scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Coldwater Springs compare to Avondale overall?

Coldwater Springs scores 0.3 points lower than Avondale overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,903 vs $1,832.
Q3

What is the average rent in Coldwater Springs?

Average gross rent in Coldwater Springs is $1,903/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Coldwater Springs residents are renters?

36% of Coldwater Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Avondale). The neighborhood has 24,118 residents.
Q5

Is Coldwater Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Coldwater Springs sits in the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Coldwater Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Coldwater Springs is census tract 04013061200 (score 5.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.5, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Coldwater Springs for landlords?

Coldwater Springs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Avondale as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Coldwater Springs?

Coldwater Springs has 25,114 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Coldwater Springs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Avondale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Coldwater Springs.

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