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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,101 of 84,120 nationally

Coldwater Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Avondale

Tract 04013082025 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,253 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 04013082025 sits in the Coldwater Springs neighborhood of Avondale, Arizona. It has a population of 3,253 and an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). 24% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 22% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,045/month against a median household income of $104,441 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 16% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,095
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$104,441

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank — 0th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 4 tracts In Coldwater Springs
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank — 11th percentileBottomTop
#18 of 20 tracts In Avondale
Very Low
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank — 70th percentileBottomTop
#299 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank — 71th percentileBottomTop
#513 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4496, -112.3225 · click any tract to drill in

Why Coldwater Springs scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,045 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Coldwater Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Coldwater Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 082025Avondale: 6.16.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 132Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 264.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.7%Peak (2005)
  • 54Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130820252001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (39.87/100 renter HHs)2003: 30 filings (398.73/100 renter HHs)2004: 45 filings (598.10/100 renter HHs)2005: 54 filings (19.72/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Coldwater Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082025

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082025?

Census tract 04013082025 in the Coldwater Springs neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082025?

Median gross rent is $2,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082025?

7.5% of residents in tract 04013082025 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,253.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082025?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 42th, minority 74th, housing 3th.

Q5

Is tract 04013082025 considered part of Coldwater Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013082025 fall within Coldwater Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082025?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013082025 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 264.11% of renter households, peaking at 19.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 04013082025 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 04013082025 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013082025 scores 5.3/10 — lower than the parent city of Avondale at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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