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Neighborhood · Avondale, AZ

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,425 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.9–3.9

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe is a one-tract neighborhood of Avondale, AZ, population 5,425. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.9/10, Lower tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 60% against 32.7% citywide, putting Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe 27.0% over its own city. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10.

Average gross rent is $2,138, 17% above the Avondale average of $1,832. Court records for this tract carry 89 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 15.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.5% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Avondale, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

At 27% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Sage Creek and Corte Sierra I score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $80,288.

One tract means one number: 3.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe vs Avondale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.7% +83%
Avondale: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$2,138 +17%
Avondale: $1,832
Average HH income
$80,288 -1%
Avondale: $81,260
Poverty rate
7.2% -34%
Avondale: 10.9%
Renter share
26.9% -30%
Avondale: 38.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.9–3.9

Why Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
7.2% below poverty line · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Casitas II at Ranc: 3.93.9Casitas II at RancNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013061015 3.9 5,425 60% $2,138
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 91%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 22%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 89Total filings (sum)
  • 7.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 2.51%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe?

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe compare to Avondale overall?

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe scores 0.2 points lower than Avondale overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,138 vs $1,832.
Q3

What is the average rent in Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe?

Average gross rent in Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe is $2,138/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe residents are renters?

27% of Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Avondale). The neighborhood has 5,425 residents.
Q5

Is Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe a high social-vulnerability area?

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe for landlords?

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Avondale as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe?

Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe has 5,621 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.2%), Hispanic / Latino (40.2%), Other / Multiracial (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Avondale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe.

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