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Neighborhood · Avondale, AZ

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,418 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3–5.1

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe spans 2 census tracts of Avondale, AZ and houses 10,418 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Avondale rate of 32.7%.

The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.1, a 2.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.4/10.

Court records carry 334 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. At $2,098 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Avondale commands. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 375.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 7.7% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Avondale, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Alamar and Sage Creek. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $84,346.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe vs Avondale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.4% +42%
Avondale: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$2,098 +15%
Avondale: $1,832
Average HH income
$84,346 +4%
Avondale: $81,260
Poverty rate
9.3% -15%
Avondale: 10.9%
Renter share
39.6% +3%
Avondale: 38.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–5.1

Why Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.5 across tracts
2.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–7.9 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tierra at Rancho S: 4.24.2Tierra at Rancho SNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013082022 5.1 5,714 69% $1,748
04013082020 3 4,704 19% $2,524
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 62

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 334Total filings (sum)
  • 109.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 375.3%Peak year (2004)
  • 7.86%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe?

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe compare to Avondale overall?

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe scores 0.1 points higher than Avondale overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,098 vs $1,832.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe?

Average gross rent in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe is $2,098/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe residents are renters?

40% of Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Avondale). The neighborhood has 10,418 residents.
Q5

Is Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe a high social-vulnerability area?

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe sits in the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe is census tract 04013082022 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe for landlords?

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Avondale as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe?

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe has 10,152 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (40%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Avondale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe.

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