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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale

Tract 04013082020 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,704 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 04013082020 covers part of the Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe area of Avondale, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,704 residents. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 19% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 13% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,565
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$111,094

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
Very Low
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 20 tracts In Avondale
Very Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#635 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4807, -112.3037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,524 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 082020Avondale: 4.14.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 65Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 12.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.6%Peak (2004)
  • 14Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130820202001: 6 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (13.55/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (14.67/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (22.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 14 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe

At $2,524 a month, rents run 38% over what the rest of Avondale commands. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The voucher gap is 29.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 65 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2004, when 22.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082020

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082020?

Census tract 04013082020 in the Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082020?

Median gross rent is $2,524/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082020?

3.5% of residents in tract 04013082020 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,704.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082020?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 58th, minority 71th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 04013082020 considered part of Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013082020 fall within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082020?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013082020 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.81% of renter households, peaking at 22.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013082020 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013082020 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013082020 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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