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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale

Tract 04013082020 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,704 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

The Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe area of Avondale is where census tract 04013082020 sits, home to 4,704 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 19% of renter households, a modest level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,524 a month while the average household earns $111,094 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 13% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,565
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$111,094

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe
Very Low
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 20 tracts In Avondale
Very Low
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#779 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,443 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4807, -112.3037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,524 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 082020Avondale: 2.62.6Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 65Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 12.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.6%Peak (2004)
  • 14Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130820202001: 6 filings (6.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (13.55/100 renter HHs)2003: 13 filings (14.67/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (22.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 14 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avondale eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013082020

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013082020?

Census tract 04013082020 in the Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013082020?

Median gross rent is $2,524/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013082020?

3.5% of residents in tract 04013082020 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,704.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013082020?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 58th, minority 71th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 04013082020 considered part of Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013082020 fall within Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013082020?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 65 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013082020 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.81% of renter households, peaking at 22.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013082020 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013082020 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013082020 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Avondale at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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