3 census tracts · pop 19,831 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3–4.4
Carrizal is a 3-tract neighborhood of Chandler, AZ and houses 19,831 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.5/10, Lower tier. 59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Chandler rate of 28.4%.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10.
Court records carry 2,818 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,662, 13% below the Chandler average of $1,902. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 212.0% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 13.1% in 2005, is well off that peak. That places it #3 of 34 neighborhoods in Chandler.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Solera and West Chandler. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $81,088. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Carrizal vs ChandlerHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Carrizal
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,818Total filings (sum)
51.84%Avg annual filing rate
212.0%Peak year (2004)
13.09%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carrizal
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.1%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility shutoff threat
14.1%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
10.9%No health insurance
26.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carrizal
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carrizal?
Carrizal scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carrizal compare to Chandler overall?
Carrizal scores 0.3 points higher than Chandler overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,662 vs $1,902.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carrizal?
Average gross rent in Carrizal is $1,662/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carrizal residents are renters?
54% of Carrizal households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 19,831 residents.
Q5
Is Carrizal a high social-vulnerability area?
Carrizal sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Carrizal have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Carrizal is census tract 04013523104 (score 4.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.4, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Carrizal for landlords?
Carrizal carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Carrizal?
Carrizal has 18,573 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.6%), Hispanic / Latino (27.1%), Other / Multiracial (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
