3 census tracts · pop 19,831 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10
· range 4.8–5.1
Carrizal is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Chandler with 3 census tracts and a population of 19,831 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,662/month sits 13% lower than the Chandler citywide median ($1,902).
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Carrizal vs ChandlerHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Carrizal
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,818Total filings (sum)
51.84%Avg annual filing rate
212.0%Peak year (2004)
13.09%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carrizal
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.1%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility shutoff threat
14.1%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
10.9%No health insurance
26.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Carrizal
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Carrizal?
Carrizal scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Carrizal compare to Chandler overall?
Carrizal scores 2.2 points higher than Chandler overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Median rent: $1,662 vs $1,902.
Q3
What is the average rent in Carrizal?
Median gross rent in Carrizal is $1,662/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Carrizal residents are renters?
54% of Carrizal households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Chandler). The neighborhood has 19,831 residents.
Q5
Is Carrizal a high social-vulnerability area?
Carrizal sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Carrizal have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Carrizal is census tract 04013523104 (score 5.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5.1 — a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Carrizal for landlords?
Carrizal carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chandler as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Carrizal?
Carrizal has 18,573 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.6%), Hispanic / Latino (27.1%), Other / Multiracial (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.