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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Heatherbrook Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler

Tract 04013422218 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,150 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 04013422218, home to 3,150 residents in Heatherbrook in Chandler, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.

About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,839 monthly, set against $74,502 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 9% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,241
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$74,502

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Heatherbrook
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 61 tracts In Chandler
High
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#577 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#1,170 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chandler and the region

Centroid at 33.3531, -111.8854 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heatherbrook scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,839 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0

How Heatherbrook compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heatherbrook risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 422218Chandler: 2.52.5Chandlerparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 279Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 17.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.1%Peak (2003)
  • 59Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134222182001: 38 filings (11.74/100 renter HHs)2002: 55 filings (16.99/100 renter HHs)2003: 91 filings (28.11/100 renter HHs)2004: 36 filings (11.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 59 filings (19.75/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 55% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Heatherbrook. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heatherbrook

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chandler eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 279 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 17.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.1% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013422218

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422218?

Census tract 04013422218 in the Heatherbrook neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013422218?

Median gross rent is $1,839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422218?

10.4% of residents in tract 04013422218 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,150.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422218?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 71th, minority 57th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 04013422218 considered part of Heatherbrook?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422218 fall within Heatherbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422218?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 279 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422218 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.54% of renter households, peaking at 28.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013422218 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013422218 compare to Chandler overall?

Tract 04013422218 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Chandler at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chandler

Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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