Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Heatherbrook Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013422218 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,150 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 04013422218 covers part of the Heatherbrook area of Chandler, AZ, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,150 residents. about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,241
Renter share35.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$74,502
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3531, -111.8854 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heatherbrook scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,839 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How Heatherbrook compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 279Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.1%Peak (2003)
- 59Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 55% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heatherbrook. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heatherbrook
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. Court records carry 279 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 28.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 17.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,839, close to the Chandler average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $74,502. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422218
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422218?
Census tract 04013422218 in the Heatherbrook neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422218?
Median gross rent is $1,839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422218?
10.4% of residents in tract 04013422218 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,150.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422218?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 71th, minority 57th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422218 considered part of Heatherbrook?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422218 fall within Heatherbrook (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422218?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 279 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422218 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.54% of renter households, peaking at 28.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422218 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422218 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013422218 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013522903
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523002
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hightown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
New Horizons
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013523008
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Related