Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Carrizal Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013811900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,117 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 04013811900 sits in the Carrizal area of Chandler eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,274
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$101,310
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.2838, -111.8674 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrizal scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,782 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How Carrizal compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 472Total filings over 5 yrs
- 126.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 212.0%Peak (2004)
- 92Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrizal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrizal
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 472 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2004 at 212.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 126.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,782, close to the Chandler average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013811900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013811900?
Census tract 04013811900 in the Carrizal neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013811900?
Median gross rent is $1,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013811900?
6.5% of residents in tract 04013811900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,117.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013811900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 59th, minority 61th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 04013811900 considered part of Carrizal?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013811900 fall within Carrizal (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013811900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 472 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013811900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 126.26% of renter households, peaking at 212.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013811900 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013811900 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013811900 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013522903
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523002
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hightown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
New Horizons
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013523008
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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