6 census tracts · pop 12,481 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.6–5.3
Dobson Shores is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Mesa with 6 census tracts and a population of 12,481 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,454/month sits 10% lower than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.6–5.3
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04013422103 | 5.3 | 5,337 | 64% | $1,421 |
| 04013422223 | 5.2 | 3,005 | 62% | $1,538 |
| 04013422221 | 4.8 | 4,139 | 44% | $1,436 |
| 04013422224 | 4.6 | — | — | — |
| 04013422225 | 4.6 | — | — | — |
| 04013422226 | 4.6 | — | — | — |
Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
Dobson Shores scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Dobson Shores scores 2.0 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,454 vs $1,620.
Median gross rent in Dobson Shores is $1,454/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
66% of Dobson Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 12,481 residents.
Dobson Shores sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
The highest-risk constituent tract in Dobson Shores is census tract 04013422103 (score 5.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.3 — a spread of 0.7 points.
Dobson Shores carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Dobson Shores has 12,085 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.8%), Hispanic / Latino (27.8%), Other / Multiracial (14.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dobson Shores.
