Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Orangetree Eviction Risk: Lower , Chandler
Tract 04013422211 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,627 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 04013422211 covers part of the Orangetree area of Chandler, AZ, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,627. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,151
Renter share23.3%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$89,050
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chandler and the region
Centroid at 33.3423, -111.8850 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orangetree scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chandler
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,489 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chandler
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chandler
2.0
How Orangetree compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 52Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2004)
- 4Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orangetree. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orangetree
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10.
At $1,489 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Chandler commands. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 52 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.6 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2004, when 9.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422211
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422211?
Census tract 04013422211 in the Orangetree neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422211?
Median gross rent is $1,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422211?
9.8% of residents in tract 04013422211 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,627.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422211?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 39th, minority 33th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422211 considered part of Orangetree?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422211 fall within Orangetree (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422211?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422211 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.25% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422211 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422211 compare to Chandler overall?
Tract 04013422211 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Chandler at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chandler eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chandler
Top eight tracts in Chandler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013522903
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523002
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013523102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522904
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Carrizal
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hightown
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
New Horizons
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013523008
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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