Neighborhood · Ranked #19,870 of 84,120 nationally

Agua Fria Eviction Risk: Elevated , El Mirage

Tract 04013060904 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,035 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 04013060904 sits in the Agua Fria neighborhood of El Mirage, Arizona. It has a population of 4,035 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 58% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 20% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,656/month against a median household income of $74,495 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.0

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 15% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units1,205

Renter share35.4%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate13.2%

Median income$74,495

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across El Mirage and the region

Centroid at 33.6017, -112.3110 · click any tract to drill in

Why Agua Fria scores 6.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from El Mirage

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

13.2% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$1,656 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from El Mirage

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from El Mirage

6.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from El Mirage

6.0

How Agua Fria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

107Total filings over 5 yrs
12.51%Avg annual filing rate
12.2%Peak (2005)
31Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings climbed 138% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Agua Fria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.0%Housing insecurity
11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
28.7%Food insecurity
21.4%SNAP enrollment
14.3%Transit barriers
22.9%No health insurance
18.4%Frequent mental distress
34.0%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013060904

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013060904?

Census tract 04013060904 in the Agua Fria neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013060904?

Median gross rent is $1,656/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013060904?

13.2% of residents in tract 04013060904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,035.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013060904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 86th, minority 78th, housing 38th.

Is tract 04013060904 considered part of Agua Fria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013060904 fall within Agua Fria (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013060904?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 107 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013060904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.51% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013060904 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013060904 compare to El Mirage overall?

Tract 04013060904 scores 6.0/10 — right in line with the parent city of El Mirage at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Mirage eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Mirage

Top eight tracts in El Mirage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.