Agua Fria Eviction Risk: Lower , El Mirage
Tract 04013060802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,062 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Agua Fria neighborhood of El Mirage anchors census tract 04013060802, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #31,358 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,869 a month against an average household income of $74,707 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across El Mirage and the region
Centroid at 33.6198, -112.3144 · click any tract to drill in
Why Agua Fria scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Agua Fria compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 2 yrs
- 3.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2003)
- 1Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Agua Fria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.3%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 18.3%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 32.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Agua Fria
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from El Mirage eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.4% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04013060802
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013060802?
What is the average rent in tract 04013060802?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013060802?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013060802?
Is tract 04013060802 considered part of Agua Fria?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013060802?
What share of households in tract 04013060802 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013060802 compare to El Mirage overall?
Highest-risk tracts in El Mirage
Top eight tracts in El Mirage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.