Agua Fria Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Mirage
Tract 04013061041 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,712 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 04013061041 (the Agua Fria area of El Mirage, Arizona) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 24% of renter households, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,698 monthly, set against $78,326 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across El Mirage and the region
Centroid at 33.6016, -112.3292 · click any tract to drill in
Why Agua Fria scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Agua Fria compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 97Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2,480.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 5,741.3%Peak (2004)
- 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Agua Fria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.3%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 12.5%Transit barriers
- 19.0%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Agua Fria
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from El Mirage eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04013061041
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061041?
What is the average rent in tract 04013061041?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061041?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061041?
Is tract 04013061041 considered part of Agua Fria?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061041?
What share of households in tract 04013061041 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013061041 compare to El Mirage overall?
Highest-risk tracts in El Mirage
Top eight tracts in El Mirage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.