6 census tracts · pop 25,957 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10
· range 3–5.1
Agua Fria is a hispanic-white neighborhood in El Mirage with 6 census tracts and a population of 25,957 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,622/month sits 10% lower than the El Mirage citywide average ($1,806).
Risk score
3.7
Lower
6 tracts · population-weighted
Agua Fria vs El MirageHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Agua Fria
Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
807Total filings (sum)
1,360.28%Avg annual filing rate
8,144.9%Peak year (2005)
788.88%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Agua Fria
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
18.9%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility shutoff threat
25.5%Food insecurity
18.3%SNAP enrollment
21.1%No health insurance
33.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Agua Fria
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Agua Fria?
Agua Fria scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Agua Fria compare to El Mirage overall?
Agua Fria scores 1.0 points higher than El Mirage overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,622 vs $1,806.
Q3
What is the average rent in Agua Fria?
Average gross rent in Agua Fria is $1,622/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Agua Fria residents are renters?
33% of Agua Fria households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in El Mirage). The neighborhood has 25,957 residents.
Q5
Is Agua Fria a high social-vulnerability area?
Agua Fria sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Agua Fria have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Agua Fria is census tract 04013060902 (score 5.1/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Agua Fria for landlords?
Agua Fria carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to El Mirage as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Agua Fria?
Agua Fria has 26,359 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
