Eviction Risk in Agua Fria , El Mirage
6 census tracts · pop 25,957 · pop-weighted composite 5.6/10 · range 5.2–6.0
Agua Fria is a hispanic-white neighborhood in El Mirage with 6 census tracts and a population of 25,957 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,622/month sits 10% lower than the El Mirage citywide median ($1,806).
Agua Fria vs. parent city, state, and U.S.
Composite landlord eviction-risk score (0–10 scale).
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by composite score.
Agua Fria vs El Mirage
How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average.
Racial & ethnic composition
Hispanic-White Neighborhood — 26,359 residents across all tracts in Agua Fria. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (B03002).
- Hispanic / Latino 53.5%
- White (non-Hispanic) 32.5%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 6.7%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 0.6%
- Other / Multiracial 6.7%
6 tracts in Agua Fria
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract | Score | Pop | Rent burden | Median rent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04013060904 | 6.0 | 4,035 | 58% | $1,656 |
| 04013060903 | 5.9 | 5,579 | 57% | $1,713 |
| 04013060902 | 5.8 | 3,805 | 36% | $1,031 |
| 04013060802 | 5.6 | 3,062 | 39% | $1,869 |
| 04013061041 | 5.3 | 4,712 | 24% | $1,698 |
| 04013061040 | 5.2 | 4,764 | 30% | $1,724 |
CDC SVI percentile: 65
Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Agua Fria
Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 807Total filings (sum)
- 1,360.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 8,144.9%Peak year (2005)
- 788.88%Latest filed (2005)
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Agua Fria
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 18.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility shutoff threat
- 25.5%Food insecurity
- 18.3%SNAP enrollment
- 21.1%No health insurance
- 33.0%Any disability
About Agua Fria
What is the eviction-risk score for Agua Fria?
Agua Fria scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden and poverty signals.
How does Agua Fria compare to El Mirage overall?
Agua Fria scores 0.3 points lower than El Mirage overall (5.9/10). Rent burden: 41% vs 29% citywide. Median rent: $1,622 vs $1,806.
What is the median rent in Agua Fria?
Median gross rent in Agua Fria is $1,622/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What percentage of Agua Fria residents are renters?
33% of Agua Fria households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in El Mirage). The neighborhood has 25,957 residents.
Is Agua Fria a high social-vulnerability area?
Agua Fria sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.