Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Copperleaf Eviction Risk: Lower , Gilbert
Tract 04013815901 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,574 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013815901 in the Copperleaf area of Gilbert, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,574 residents. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,902
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$159,191
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gilbert and the region
Centroid at 33.2720, -111.7630 · click any tract to drill in
Why Copperleaf scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gilbert
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,013 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gilbert
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gilbert
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gilbert
2.0
How Copperleaf compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 20.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Copperleaf
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Against average income of $159,191, annual rent is just 15%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013815901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013815901?
Census tract 04013815901 in the Copperleaf neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013815901?
Median gross rent is $2,013/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013815901?
6.8% of residents in tract 04013815901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013815901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 54th, minority 62th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 04013815901 considered part of Copperleaf?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013815901 fall within Copperleaf (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013815901 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013815901 compare to Gilbert overall?
Tract 04013815901 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Gilbert at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gilbert eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gilbert
Top eight tracts in Gilbert ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
The Bridges at Gilbert
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gilbert Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013422305
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
McQueen
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Morrison Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Allen Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Stonebridge Lakes Manor
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Morrison Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
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