1 census tracts · pop 7,504 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.7–4.7
Wildflower Ranch maps to a single census tract in Goodyear, AZ and houses 7,504 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. 42% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs 70% against 37.1% citywide, putting Wildflower Ranch 32.4% over its own city. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.4/10.
At $1,814 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Goodyear commands. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Goodyear, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Centerra and Estrella Vista.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Wildflower Ranch vs GoodyearHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Wildflower Ranch
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.8%Housing insecurity
8.6%Utility shutoff threat
18.4%Food insecurity
13.2%SNAP enrollment
14.3%No health insurance
28.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Wildflower Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Wildflower Ranch?
Wildflower Ranch scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Wildflower Ranch compare to Goodyear overall?
Wildflower Ranch scores 0.7 points higher than Goodyear overall (4/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,814 vs $1,956.
Q3
What is the average rent in Wildflower Ranch?
Average gross rent in Wildflower Ranch is $1,814/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Wildflower Ranch residents are renters?
40% of Wildflower Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Goodyear). The neighborhood has 7,504 residents.
Q5
Is Wildflower Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Wildflower Ranch sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Wildflower Ranch for landlords?
Wildflower Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Goodyear as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Wildflower Ranch?
Wildflower Ranch has 8,308 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (45.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (35.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
