Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Fountain of the Sun Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013422627 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,487 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 04013422627 in the Fountain of the Sun area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,487 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,485
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$50,818
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4115, -111.6465 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fountain of the Sun scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Fountain of the Sun compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 174Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.2%Peak (2005)
- 54Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 108% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fountain of the Sun. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 16.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fountain of the Sun
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $1,096 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Mesa commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 174 filings here across 5 tracked years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2005, when 21.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 16.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422627
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422627?
Census tract 04013422627 in the Fountain of the Sun neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422627?
Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422627?
13.2% of residents in tract 04013422627 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,487.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422627?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 92th, minority 53th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422627 considered part of Fountain of the Sun?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422627 fall within Fountain of the Sun (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422627?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 174 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422627 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.34% of renter households, peaking at 21.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422627 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422627 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422627 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421901
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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