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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013420704 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,746 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 04013420704 covers part of the Royal Palm Village area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,746. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 13% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,720
Renter share32.9%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$97,619

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Royal Palm Village
Low
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#63 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#521 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#944 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4300, -111.7623 · click any tract to drill in

Why Royal Palm Village scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,806 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Royal Palm Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Royal Palm Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 420704Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 670Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 23.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.3%Peak (2001)
  • 115Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134207042001: 184 filings (32.34/100 renter HHs)2002: 165 filings (29.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 103 filings (18.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 103 filings (18.10/100 renter HHs)2005: 115 filings (19.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Royal Palm Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Royal Palm Village

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Court records carry 670 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $1,806 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Mesa commands. Filings peaked in 2001 at 32.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 23.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $97,619. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420704?

Census tract 04013420704 in the Royal Palm Village neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420704?

Median gross rent is $1,806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420704?

13.9% of residents in tract 04013420704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,746.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 17th, minority 39th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420704 considered part of Royal Palm Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420704 fall within Royal Palm Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420704?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 670 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.39% of renter households, peaking at 32.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420704 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420704 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420704 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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