Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Lower

6 census tracts · pop 23,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3–4.6

Royal Palm Village spans 6 census tracts of Mesa, AZ, population 23,352. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.7/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Mesa baseline of 32.3%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 4.6, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 3,133 across 6 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 54.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 17.9% in 2005, is well off that peak.

Average gross rent is $1,493, 8% below the Mesa average of $1,620. Among the 33 mapped neighborhoods of Mesa, it ranks #12 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Fountain of the Sun and Venture Out score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $73,214.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

6 tracts · population-weighted

Royal Palm Village vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.0% +76%

Mesa: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,493 -8%

Mesa: $1,620

Average HH income

$73,214 -7%

Mesa: $78,779

Poverty rate

11.5% +10%

Mesa: 10.5%

Renter share

32.1% -10%

Mesa: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Royal Palm Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3–4.6

Why Royal Palm Village scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

11.5% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.8 across tracts

2.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts

2.9

Risk score comparison

Royal Palm Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Royal Palm Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.6 points from 3 to 4.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.6 4.6 4.0 3.6 3.3 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Royal Palm Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013420709	4.6	3,421	37%	$1,115
04013420710	4.6	3,411	52%	$1,553
04013420708	4	3,517	63%	$908
04013420707	3.6	2,211	60%	$1,553
04013420704	3.3	5,746	61%	$1,806
04013420706	3	5,046	65%	$1,736

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 56%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 74%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Royal Palm Village

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

3,133Total filings (sum)
21.19%Avg annual filing rate
54.6%Peak year (2004)
18.28%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Royal Palm Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.6%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
10.5%SNAP enrollment
10.5%No health insurance
32.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Royal Palm Village

What is the eviction-risk score for Royal Palm Village?

Royal Palm Village scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Royal Palm Village compare to Mesa overall?

Royal Palm Village scores 0.5 points higher than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,493 vs $1,620.

What is the average rent in Royal Palm Village?

Average gross rent in Royal Palm Village is $1,493/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Royal Palm Village residents are renters?

32% of Royal Palm Village households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 23,352 residents.

Is Royal Palm Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Royal Palm Village sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Royal Palm Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Royal Palm Village is census tract 04013420709 (score 4.6/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.6 points.

How safe is Royal Palm Village for landlords?

Royal Palm Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Royal Palm Village?

Royal Palm Village has 22,950 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.9%), Hispanic / Latino (16%), Other / Multiracial (4.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Royal Palm Village

3.1 Suntrails 2 tracts · pop 11,086 3.7 Venture Out 4 tracts · pop 11,661 4.2 Fuller Ranch 5 tracts · pop 21,917 3.8 Dreamland Villa 2 tracts · pop 10,073 3 Woodridge Lakes 4 tracts · pop 18,992 3 Homestead 2 tracts · pop 8,152

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Royal Palm Village.

3.7 Fountain of the Sun 6 tracts · pop 22,068 3.6 Dreamland Villa 2 tracts · pop 10,073 3.6 Venture Out 4 tracts · pop 11,661 3.9 Hohokam Village 3 tracts · pop 10,125 4 McQueen 4 tracts · pop 20,349 4 Buckhorn 3 tracts · pop 13,120

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