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Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 23,352 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.0/10 · range 4.7–5.3

Royal Palm Village is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mesa with 6 census tracts and a population of 23,352 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,493/month sits 8% lower than the Mesa citywide median ($1,620).

Risk score
5.0
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Royal Palm Village vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.0% +76%
Mesa: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,493 -8%
Mesa: $1,620
Average HH income
$73,214 -7%
Mesa: $78,779
Poverty rate
11.5% +10%
Mesa: 10.5%
Renter share
32.1% -10%
Mesa: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Royal Palm Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.7–5.3

Why Royal Palm Village scores 5.0

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
11.5% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.8 across tracts
2.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Royal Palm Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Royal Palm Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Royal Palm Village: 5.05.0Royal Palm VillageNeighborhoodParent city: 3.13.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Royal Palm Village?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.6 points from 4.7 to 5.3. Tracts are relatively uniform — conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Royal Palm Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013420710 5.3 3,411 52% $1,553
04013420704 5.2 5,746 61% $1,806
04013420706 4.9 5,046 65% $1,736
04013420708 4.9 3,517 63% $908
04013420707 4.9 2,211 60% $1,553
04013420709 4.7 3,421 37% $1,115
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 56%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Royal Palm Village

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,133Total filings (sum)
  • 21.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.6%Peak year (2004)
  • 18.28%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Royal Palm Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Royal Palm Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Royal Palm Village?

Royal Palm Village scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Royal Palm Village compare to Mesa overall?

Royal Palm Village scores 1.9 points higher than Mesa overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Median rent: $1,493 vs $1,620.

Q3

What is the average rent in Royal Palm Village?

Median gross rent in Royal Palm Village is $1,493/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Royal Palm Village residents are renters?

32% of Royal Palm Village households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 23,352 residents.

Q5

Is Royal Palm Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Royal Palm Village sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Royal Palm Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Royal Palm Village is census tract 04013420710 (score 5.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.3 — a spread of 0.6 points.

Q7

How safe is Royal Palm Village for landlords?

Royal Palm Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.0/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Royal Palm Village?

Royal Palm Village has 22,950 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.9%), Hispanic / Latino (16%), Other / Multiracial (4.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Royal Palm Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Royal Palm Village.

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