Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Royal Palm Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013420708 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,517 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 04013420708 covers part of the Royal Palm Village area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,517 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,234
Renter share44.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate8.9%
Median income$48,870
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4191, -111.7450 · click any tract to drill in
Why Royal Palm Village scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.9% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$908 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Royal Palm Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,225Total filings over 5 yrs
- 28.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.3%Peak (2002)
- 278Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Royal Palm Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 39.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Royal Palm Village
Average gross rent is $908, 44% below the Mesa average. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The filing record is not thin: 1,225 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2002 at 33.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 28.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $48,870. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013420708
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420708?
Census tract 04013420708 in the Royal Palm Village neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013420708?
Median gross rent is $908/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420708?
8.9% of residents in tract 04013420708 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,517.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420708?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 34th, minority 23th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 04013420708 considered part of Royal Palm Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420708 fall within Royal Palm Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420708?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,225 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013420708 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.14% of renter households, peaking at 33.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013420708 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013420708 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013420708 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Mesa Patios
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422107
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Royal Palm Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Arizona Cowboy
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Fuller Ranch
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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