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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Venture Out Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa

Tract 04013420213 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,825 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 04013420213 in the Venture Out area of Mesa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,825. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 2% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share5.3%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$53,814

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Venture Out
Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#52 of 133 tracts In Mesa
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#429 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#756 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mesa and the region

Centroid at 33.4192, -111.7278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Venture Out scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,712 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5

How Venture Out compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Venture Out risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 420213Mesa: 3.23.2Mesaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2004)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040134202132001: 1 filings (0.21/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (0.85/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Venture Out. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Venture Out

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $53,814 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 7 eviction filings across 3 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2004, when 0.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013420213

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013420213?

Census tract 04013420213 in the Venture Out neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013420213?

Median gross rent is $1,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013420213?

7.3% of residents in tract 04013420213 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,825.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013420213?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 55th, minority 7th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 04013420213 considered part of Venture Out?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013420213 fall within Venture Out (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013420213?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013420213 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.53% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013420213 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013420213 compare to Mesa overall?

Tract 04013420213 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mesa

Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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