Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Venture Out Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422624 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,666 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 04013422624 covers part of the Venture Out area of Mesa, AZ, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,666
Renter share11.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$56,077
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.4117, -111.7265 · click any tract to drill in
Why Venture Out scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How Venture Out compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2003)
- 4Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Venture Out. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 7.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 9.8%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Venture Out
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
Average gross rent is $1,219, 25% below the Mesa average. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Housing insecurity runs 4.8% against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 22 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2003 at 3.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422624
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422624?
Census tract 04013422624 in the Venture Out neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422624?
Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422624?
10.5% of residents in tract 04013422624 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,666.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422624?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 39th, minority 14th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422624 considered part of Venture Out?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422624 fall within Venture Out (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422624?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422624 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.31% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422624 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422624 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422624 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421901
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Hohokam Village
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
McQueen
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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