Neighborhood · Mesa, AZ

Venture Out Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 11,661 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10 · range 3–4

Venture Out spans 4 census tracts of Mesa, AZ and houses 11,661 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.6/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Mesa baseline of 32.3%, roughly one in two of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.9/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Filings are well documented here: 332 across 4 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.5/10.

3.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 14.0% of renter households. Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate.

At $1,452 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Mesa commands. The most recent observed rate, 1.9% in 2005, is well off that peak.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Venture Out vs Mesa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.9% +58%

Mesa: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,452 -10%

Mesa: $1,620

Average HH income

$68,294 -13%

Mesa: $78,779

Poverty rate

7.4% -30%

Mesa: 10.5%

Renter share

20.0% -44%

Mesa: 35.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Venture Out and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–4

Why Venture Out scores 3.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

7.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts

1.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–3.9 across tracts

2.5

Risk score comparison

Venture Out vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Venture Out?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1 points from 3 to 4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.0 3.9 3.7 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Venture Out

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013422607	4	3,762	61%	$1,241
04013422624	3.9	2,666	50%	$1,219
04013420213	3.7	1,825	62%	$1,712
04013422637	3	3,408	35%	$1,728

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 39%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 26%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 64%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Venture Out

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

332Total filings (sum)
5.23%Avg annual filing rate
14.0%Peak year (2004)
2.17%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Venture Out

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

5.9%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
8.0%No health insurance
36.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Venture Out

What is the eviction-risk score for Venture Out?

Venture Out scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Venture Out compare to Mesa overall?

Venture Out scores 0.4 points higher than Mesa overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,452 vs $1,620.

What is the average rent in Venture Out?

Average gross rent in Venture Out is $1,452/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Venture Out residents are renters?

20% of Venture Out households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Mesa). The neighborhood has 11,661 residents.

Is Venture Out a high social-vulnerability area?

Venture Out sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Venture Out have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Venture Out is census tract 04013422607 (score 4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4, a spread of 1 points.

How safe is Venture Out for landlords?

Venture Out carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mesa as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Venture Out?

Venture Out has 12,238 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.6%), Hispanic / Latino (9.6%), Other / Multiracial (3.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Venture Out

3.9 Royal Palm Village 6 tracts · pop 23,352 3.9 Buckhorn 3 tracts · pop 13,120 3.8 Dreamland Villa 2 tracts · pop 10,073 3.1 Suntrails 2 tracts · pop 11,086 4.2 Velda Rose Estates 3 tracts · pop 11,124 3 Val Vista Lakes 3 tracts · pop 10,467

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mesa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Venture Out.

3.6 Dreamland Villa 2 tracts · pop 10,073 3.7 Royal Palm Village 6 tracts · pop 23,352 3.7 Fountain of the Sun 6 tracts · pop 22,068 3.9 Hohokam Village 3 tracts · pop 10,125 3.3 Leisure World Arizona 1 tracts · pop 3,996 3.3 Kingsgate 1 tracts · pop 5,667

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