Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Cimarron Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013116202 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,017 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 04013116202 covers part of the Cimarron area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,017 residents. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 24% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$89,825
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.3886, -111.9874 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cimarron scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,488 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Cimarron compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 125Total filings over 5 yrs
- 12.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.8%Peak (2002)
- 24Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cimarron. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.5%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 23.5%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cimarron
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 125 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Food insecurity runs 25.5% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2002 at 17.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 12.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013116202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116202?
Census tract 04013116202 in the Cimarron neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013116202?
Median gross rent is $1,488/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116202?
9.1% of residents in tract 04013116202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,017.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 72th, minority 88th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 04013116202 considered part of Cimarron?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116202 fall within Cimarron (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 125 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.68% of renter households, peaking at 17.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013116202 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013116202 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013116202 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114301
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
North Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013107001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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