Paradise Valley Mobilhome Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. This is a renter market: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation is 28.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Court records for this tract carry 1,252 eviction filings. At $1,366 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. The worst year on record was 2004, when filings touched 28.2% of renter households.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.