Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

South Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

7 census tracts · pop 26,843 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 4.8–6.1

South Phoenix is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Phoenix with 7 census tracts and a population of 26,843 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,209/month sits 24% lower than the Phoenix citywide average ($1,582).

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

7 tracts · population-weighted

South Phoenix vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.4% +82%

Phoenix: 31.0%

Average gross rent

$1,209 -24%

Phoenix: $1,582

Average HH income

$51,481 -33%

Phoenix: $77,041

Poverty rate

24.1% +69%

Phoenix: 14.3%

Renter share

48.9% +15%

Phoenix: 42.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Phoenix and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 4.8–6.1

Why South Phoenix scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

56% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

49% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

24.1% below poverty line · Range 4.2–9.3 across tracts

6.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts

1.5

Risk score comparison

South Phoenix vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Phoenix?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.3 points from 4.8 to 6.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

6.1 5.9 5.7 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

7 tracts in South Phoenix

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013115300	6.1	2,765	62%	$903
04013115801	5.9	4,247	57%	$1,276
04013115400	5.7	1,688	50%	$1,106
04013116500	5.4	4,973	53%	$1,109
04013114800	5.3	3,120	54%	$1,329
04013115802	4.9	3,825	63%	$1,074
04013115900	4.8	6,225	56%	$1,431

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 88%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 86%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Phoenix

Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,814Total filings (sum)
11.92%Avg annual filing rate
24.3%Peak year (2005)
11.56%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Phoenix

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

27.4%Housing insecurity
15.4%Utility shutoff threat
39.8%Food insecurity
31.2%SNAP enrollment
32.2%No health insurance
41.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About South Phoenix

What is the eviction-risk score for South Phoenix?

South Phoenix scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does South Phoenix compare to Phoenix overall?

South Phoenix scores 2.5 points higher than Phoenix overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,209 vs $1,582.

What is the average rent in South Phoenix?

Average gross rent in South Phoenix eviction risk is $1,209/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of South Phoenix residents are renters?

49% of South Phoenix households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 26,843 residents.

Is South Phoenix a high social-vulnerability area?

South Phoenix sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in South Phoenix have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Phoenix is census tract 04013115300 (score 6.1/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 6.1, a spread of 1.3 points.

How safe is South Phoenix for landlords?

South Phoenix eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of South Phoenix?

South Phoenix has 25,297 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (77.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Phoenix

4.4 Park Phoenix 6 tracts · pop 28,724 3.9 Citrus Hills 4 tracts · pop 21,052 5 Patrick Park 3 tracts · pop 18,417 5.2 Garfield 6 tracts · pop 10,776 4.1 Silva Mountain 3 tracts · pop 14,357 4.5 North Garfield 5 tracts · pop 22,611

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Phoenix.

5.3 Lookout Mountain 2 tracts · pop 7,103 5.3 Lake Biltmore Village 6 tracts · pop 29,792 5.3 Parkwood 4 tracts · pop 24,056 5.3 El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn 3 tracts · pop 10,722 5.2 Alhambra 11 tracts · pop 51,130 5.2 Melrose District 12 tracts · pop 44,429

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