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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Rancho Hermoso Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 13,026 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 5–5

Rancho Hermoso is a 4-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 13,026 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5/10, Moderate tier. Food insecurity affects 47.1% of adults, 29.3 points above the national rate.

31.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,102, 30% below the Phoenix average of $1,582. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Cost burden runs 40% against 31.0% citywide, putting Rancho Hermoso 8.7% over its own city.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records carry 1,839 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 65.9% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. That places it #1 of 113 neighborhoods in Phoenix.

Judgments average 16.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Rancho Hermoso vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.7% +28%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,102 -30%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$45,104 -41%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
26.5% +86%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
70.7% +66%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rancho Hermoso and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5–5

Why Rancho Hermoso scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
71% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
26.5% below poverty line · Range 4.3–10.0 across tracts
6.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.0 across tracts
1.6
Risk score comparison

Rancho Hermoso vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rancho Hermoso score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rancho Hermoso: 5.05.0Rancho HermosoNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Rancho Hermoso?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 5 to 5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Rancho Hermoso

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013113601 5 4,911 40% $1,376
04013113602 5 4,292 37% $939
04013113502 5 3,243 51% $1,098
04013981000 5 580
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 97%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rancho Hermoso

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,839Total filings (sum)
  • 30.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 65.9%Peak year (2005)
  • 21.63%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rancho Hermoso

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rancho Hermoso

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rancho Hermoso?

Rancho Hermoso scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rancho Hermoso compare to Phoenix overall?

Rancho Hermoso scores 1.4 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,102 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rancho Hermoso?

Average gross rent in Rancho Hermoso is $1,102/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rancho Hermoso residents are renters?

71% of Rancho Hermoso households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 13,026 residents.
Q5

Is Rancho Hermoso a high social-vulnerability area?

Rancho Hermoso sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rancho Hermoso have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rancho Hermoso is census tract 04013113601 (score 5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 5, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Rancho Hermoso for landlords?

Rancho Hermoso carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rancho Hermoso?

Rancho Hermoso has 11,970 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (69.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (17%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rancho Hermoso

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rancho Hermoso.

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