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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Litchfield Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Avondale

Tract 04013061401 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,075 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

04013061401 is a census tract in the Litchfield Junction area of Avondale, AZ. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,075 residents. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 28% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units671
Renter share71.4%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate32.9%
Median income$50,321

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Litchfield Junction
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 20 tracts In Avondale
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4327, -112.3496 · click any tract to drill in

Why Litchfield Junction scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
32.9% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,312 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Litchfield Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Litchfield Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 061401Avondale: 4.14.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 199Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.6%Peak (2005)
  • 71Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130614012001: 35 filings (13.23/100 renter HHs)2002: 23 filings (8.70/100 renter HHs)2003: 24 filings (9.07/100 renter HHs)2004: 46 filings (17.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 71 filings (18.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 103% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Litchfield Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Litchfield Junction

Adults with no health insurance runs 32.5% against 11.3% nationally. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Average gross rent is $1,312, 28% below the Avondale average. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.2/10.

Court records carry 199 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2005, when 18.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 13.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061401?

Census tract 04013061401 in the Litchfield Junction neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061401?

Median gross rent is $1,312/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061401?

32.9% of residents in tract 04013061401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,075.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 94th, minority 86th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061401 considered part of Litchfield Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061401 fall within Litchfield Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 199 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.39% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061401 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061401 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013061401 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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