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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Litchfield Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate , Avondale

Tract 04013061402 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,510 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013061402 in the Litchfield Junction area of Avondale, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,510 residents. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 34% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,000
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$73,358

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Litchfield Junction
Moderate
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 20 tracts In Avondale
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4265, -112.3443 · click any tract to drill in

Why Litchfield Junction scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,410 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
6.4

How Litchfield Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Litchfield Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 061402Avondale: 4.14.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 374Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.1%Peak (2005)
  • 107Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130614022001: 67 filings (13.65/100 renter HHs)2002: 37 filings (7.54/100 renter HHs)2003: 69 filings (14.05/100 renter HHs)2004: 94 filings (19.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 107 filings (15.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Litchfield Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Litchfield Junction

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. At $1,410 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Avondale commands.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 374 filings here across 5 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 21.4% against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 15.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061402?

Census tract 04013061402 in the Litchfield Junction neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061402?

Median gross rent is $1,410/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061402?

15.2% of residents in tract 04013061402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,510.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 92th, minority 91th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061402 considered part of Litchfield Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061402 fall within Litchfield Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 374 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.89% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061402 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061402 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013061402 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avondale

Top eight tracts in Avondale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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