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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate

12 census tracts · pop 44,429 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4–5

Melrose District is a 12-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 44,429 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. Against a Phoenix baseline of 31.0%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The 12 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4 to 5, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. At $1,317 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

Court records carry 11,546 eviction filings across its 9 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 52.2% of renter households.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. 18.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Food insecurity affects 26.5% of adults, 8.7 points above the national rate.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
12 tracts · population-weighted
Melrose District vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.8% +80%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,317 -17%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$54,448 -29%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
22.0% +54%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
73.0% +71%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Melrose District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 12 tracts span score 4–5

Why Melrose District scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
73% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
22.0% below poverty line · Range 3.0–10.0 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Melrose District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Melrose District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Melrose District: 4.94.9Melrose DistrictNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Melrose District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 4 to 5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

12 tracts in Melrose District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013117000 5 7,015 72% $1,167
04013109003 5 6,402 50% $1,155
04013108902 5 5,188 52% $1,008
04013109002 5 3,948 51% $1,282
04013110501 5 3,445 51% $1,473
04013110502 5 3,264 49% $1,765
04013107403 5 2,200 70% $1,606
04013107402 5 1,479 72% $1,238
04013107404 5 1,256 62% $1,012
04013110400 4.8 4,948 52% $1,437
04013108901 4.5 2,364 48% $1,401
04013117100 4 2,920 47% $1,628
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 12 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Melrose District

Aggregated across 9 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11,546Total filings (sum)
  • 25.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.2%Peak year (2004)
  • 23.22%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Melrose District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Melrose District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Melrose District?

Melrose District scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 12 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Melrose District compare to Phoenix overall?

Melrose District scores 1.3 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,317 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Melrose District?

Average gross rent in Melrose District is $1,317/month (pop-weighted across 12 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Melrose District residents are renters?

73% of Melrose District households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 44,429 residents.
Q5

Is Melrose District a high social-vulnerability area?

Melrose District sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Melrose District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Melrose District is census tract 04013117000 (score 5/10). Across the 12 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Melrose District for landlords?

Melrose District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 12 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Melrose District?

Melrose District has 45,631 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (47.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Melrose District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Melrose District.

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