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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013109002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,948 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is the Melrose District area of Phoenix for landlords? Census tract 04013109002 scores 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #28,301 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,282 monthly, set against $52,800 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 37% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share76.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$52,800

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 12 tracts In Melrose District
Elevated
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#73 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#221 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.5059, -112.1062 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melrose District scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Melrose District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melrose District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 109002Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,275Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 14.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.9%Peak (2002)
  • 251Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131090022001: 264 filings (14.70/100 renter HHs)2002: 321 filings (17.88/100 renter HHs)2003: 267 filings (14.87/100 renter HHs)2004: 172 filings (9.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 251 filings (15.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melrose District

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,275 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 14.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.9% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013109002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109002?

Census tract 04013109002 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013109002?

Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109002?

25.0% of residents in tract 04013109002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,948.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 92th, minority 86th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 04013109002 considered part of Melrose District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109002 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,275 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.45% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013109002 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013109002 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013109002 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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