Within neighborhood
73
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,252 of 84,120 nationally
Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013109002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,948 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04013109002 sits in the Melrose District neighborhood of Phoenix, Arizona. It has a population of 3,948 and an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). 51% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 31% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,282/month against a median household income of $52,800 — roughly 29% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,557
Renter share76.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$52,800
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.5059, -112.1062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose District scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Melrose District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,275Total filings over 5 yrs
- 14.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.9%Peak (2002)
- 251Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Melrose District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.7%Food insecurity
- 23.0%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 21.2%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 04013109002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109002?
Census tract 04013109002 in the Melrose District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013109002?
Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109002?
25.0% of residents in tract 04013109002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 92th, minority 86th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 04013109002 considered part of Melrose District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109002 fall within Melrose District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,275 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.45% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013109002 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013109002 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013109002 scores 5.7/10 — higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Centura West
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
North Garfield
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04013114301
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Catalina Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Garfield
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04013114401
6.0
/ 10 · Elevated
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