Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Cost burden runs 72% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $38,125, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. SNAP participation runs 28.1% against 15.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.0% against 11.3% nationally.

At $1,238 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.