1 census tracts · pop 3,530 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10
· range 5–5
Turtle Creek is a one-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ and houses 3,530 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5/10, in the Moderate tier. 64% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Phoenix rate of 31.0%.
96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.
Set annual rent against average household income of $44,509 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 2,394 evictions logged in this tract. Average gross rent is $1,367, 14% below the Phoenix average of $1,582. Filing activity peaked in 2001 at 49.5% of renter households.
Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 29.0% in 2005, is well off that peak.
Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Turtle Creek vs PhoenixHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Turtle Creek
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,394Total filings (sum)
37.30%Avg annual filing rate
49.5%Peak year (2001)
29.03%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Turtle Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.2%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility shutoff threat
22.7%Food insecurity
17.4%SNAP enrollment
15.2%No health insurance
30.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Turtle Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Turtle Creek?
Turtle Creek scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Turtle Creek compare to Phoenix overall?
Turtle Creek scores 1.4 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,367 vs $1,582.
Q3
What is the average rent in Turtle Creek?
Average gross rent in Turtle Creek is $1,367/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Turtle Creek residents are renters?
96% of Turtle Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 3,530 residents.
Q5
Is Turtle Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Turtle Creek sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Turtle Creek for landlords?
Turtle Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Turtle Creek?
Turtle Creek has 3,538 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
