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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Mayflower Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,048 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.2–3.7

Mayflower Terrace takes in 2 census tracts of Phoenix, AZ and houses 10,048 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Cost burden runs 41% against 31.0% citywide, putting Mayflower Terrace 9.7% over its own city. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.4/10.

Filings are well documented here: 640 across 2 observed tracts. Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filing activity peaked in 2004 at 18.9% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 9.6% in 2005, is well off that peak. At $1,709 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of Phoenix commands.

Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #68 by risk, the middle third. At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Mayflower Terrace vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.7% +31%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,709 +8%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$73,093 -5%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
5.5% -61%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
19.3% -55%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mayflower Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.2–3.7

Why Mayflower Terrace scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
5.5% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–4.1 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Mayflower Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mayflower Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Mayflower Terrace: 3.43.4Mayflower TerraceNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Mayflower Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013103400 3.7 4,041 32% $1,771
04013103302 3.2 6,007 46% $1,668
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 63%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mayflower Terrace

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 640Total filings (sum)
  • 11.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.9%Peak year (2004)
  • 10.02%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mayflower Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Mayflower Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mayflower Terrace?

Mayflower Terrace scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mayflower Terrace compare to Phoenix overall?

Mayflower Terrace scores 0.2 points lower than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,709 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mayflower Terrace?

Average gross rent in Mayflower Terrace is $1,709/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mayflower Terrace residents are renters?

19% of Mayflower Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 10,048 residents.
Q5

Is Mayflower Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Mayflower Terrace sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Mayflower Terrace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Mayflower Terrace is census tract 04013103400 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 3.7, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Mayflower Terrace for landlords?

Mayflower Terrace carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Mayflower Terrace?

Mayflower Terrace has 10,265 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.6%), Hispanic / Latino (34.6%), Other / Multiracial (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mayflower Terrace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mayflower Terrace.

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