Thunderbird Valley Number Two Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.7/10.

At $1,308 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Court records carry 3,694 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filing activity peaked in 2003 at 43.6% of renter households. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

The most recent observed rate, 19.3% in 2005, is well off that peak. Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #25 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.6 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $64,740.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.