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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Thunderbird Valley Number Two Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013104100 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 7,580 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 04013104100 in the Thunderbird Valley Number Two area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 15% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,715
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$69,005

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Thunderbird Valley Number Two
Moderate
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#157 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#261 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#471 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6180, -112.1251 · click any tract to drill in

Why Thunderbird Valley Number Two scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,213 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Thunderbird Valley Number Two compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Thunderbird Valley Number Two risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 104100Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,175Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 35.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.6%Peak (2001)
  • 202Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131041002001: 286 filings (43.60/100 renter HHs)2002: 248 filings (37.80/100 renter HHs)2003: 204 filings (31.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 235 filings (35.82/100 renter HHs)2005: 202 filings (31.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Thunderbird Valley Number Two. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Thunderbird Valley Number Two

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10.

At $1,213 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. Court records carry 1,175 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 43.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 35.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $69,005.

29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013104100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104100?

Census tract 04013104100 in the Thunderbird Valley Number Two neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013104100?

Median gross rent is $1,213/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104100?

14.4% of residents in tract 04013104100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,580.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 55th, minority 68th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 04013104100 considered part of Thunderbird Valley Number Two?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104100 fall within Thunderbird Valley Number Two (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,175 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.94% of renter households, peaking at 43.6% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013104100 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013104100 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013104100 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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